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New Independence Poll

 
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Reluctant Hero
Jim Baxter is God...........really!!!!


Joined: 17 Sep 2005
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PostPosted: Sat Jul 05, 2008 11:06 pm    Post subject: New Independence Poll Reply with quote

A poll conducted for the Sunday Herald asking the question the SNP want to ask in a referendumshows a drop of 2% from three months ago.  This could be covered by the margin of error, so essentially shows that support is static at the moment.

http://www.sundayherald.com/news/...dnews/display.var.2381319.0.0.php



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Cruachan
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Joined: 19 May 2008
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Location: The English Midlands

PostPosted: Sun Jul 06, 2008 10:24 am    Post subject: Re: New Independence Poll Reply with quote

Reluctant Hero wrote:
A poll conducted for the Sunday Herald asking the question the SNP want to ask in a referendumshows a drop of 2% from three months ago.  This could be covered by the margin of error, so essentially shows that support is static at the moment.

http://www.sundayherald.com/news/...dnews/display.var.2381319.0.0.php


That's true but I would prefer to see the margin for error 2% up.  I know its only one poll, but given the backdrop of Labour's problems, fuel prices, and real achievements of the Scottish Government in the last year, should we not be seeing more positive signs?

Or perhaps the wording of the proposed Referendum question is the problem?  Maybe a straightforward YES/NO to Independence is the way to go?
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Holebender
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 06, 2008 10:37 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The trouble with the referendum question is that it has to get past the restrictions of the Scotland Act.
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Aventinian
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Joined: 10 Dec 2005
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 06, 2008 3:06 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Moreover, the question asked would - if the SNP thought they might get support from any other party in the Scottish Parliament - be the one matter most readily subject to amendment.
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Economist
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Joined: 22 Apr 2006
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Location: Edinburgh

PostPosted: Sun Jul 06, 2008 6:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Aventinian wrote:
Moreover, the question asked would - if the SNP thought they might get support from any other party in the Scottish Parliament - be the one matter most readily subject to amendment.


Sure, but as Holebender points out, it has to (1) get through the limitations of the Scotland Act as well as (2) satisfying the appropriate regulatory body overseeing the referendum (perhaps the Electoral Commission) that it is neutral and not a leading question. The current question, clearly, satisfies such demands and conventions.

So questions like:
Quote:
"Do you want to rip Scotland from the warm bosom of the glorious and patriotic United Kingdom, so that it becomes a completely separate state, cut off the rest of the world, with every taxpayer having an extra £5000 bill each year?"

would fall at the first and second hurdles.

But at the end of the day, when the referendum comes round, most people in Scotland will be completely au fait with what is involved and with what they are being asked to do, and what the question is. And that will be to give their consent to the Scottish Government entering into negotiations with the British Government so that Scotland becomes an independent state. Nothing more and nothing less. By such time, how the question is worded will be largely irrelevant and have a negligable effect on the overall vote. At the current time, the way the question is worded is important, when it comes to conducting polls, illustrated by the fact the support for both the Union and independence are volatile.
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kevin04
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Joined: 06 Mar 2007
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PostPosted: Mon Jul 07, 2008 10:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think to sum it up (roughly ish) as always is to be done with me  Very Happy  we can say ..

30% defs Want Independence
40% don't want Independence
30% don't care/undecided/ on Independence


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