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| azzuri |
Official Election Day/Night thread....I won't be on all night like some of you lucky buggers!But I thought I'd start the thread anyway. I have a bad feeling about the counts tonight/tomorrow. Maybe it's just nerves because of the appalling way the gutter press have been behaving towards Independence and in particular the SNP over the last couple of weeks. I just have this feeling that the headlines today will get a lot of the core Labour vote out and that the SNP might slip back a couple of % points. The ironic thing is that they may get the highhest % on both votes but still end up as the smallest party tomorrow. Although the bookies have now suspended betting on the election, Betfair is still providing 'in-running' betting opportunities, so I imagine the odds offered will be the best way to gauge how the voting is going. Despite the strong finish with the YouGov poll published in the Telegraph, the SNP have slipped back a bit to 1.39 while Labour are at 2.7 (to become the largest party in Holyrood). |
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| azzuri |
oh, and it was reported today that Kilmarnock and Loudon aim to be the first to declare at 01.00 on the constituency vote - here's hoping it's good news for Willie Coffey and the SNP. | ||||
| SLG |
That's great - that should give us a good indication of how the night is going to go early on. |
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| SLG |
No one getting any news from exit polls?
I've heard that things seem to be going fairly well in a certain NE constituency. Although impossible to draw too much from that. |
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| azzuri |
Nope, not heard anything at all yet.
BUT - 3 hours to go until the polls close! UPDATE - The SNP have shortened to 1.38 on Betfair while Labour have drifted out to 2.74 
I must stress though that the liquidity on the market is not very good and these figures are sometimes being influenced by bets of as little as £2 at a time. |
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| kevin04 |
Just had my power nap there after waking up at 4.30 to catch a flight home,
Feeling all the emotions, excited, nervous it's all going on and even my grammar is going aswell. No Idea about exit polls at this current moment, Looking fwd to the television, Maybe should get fired into the beer to lighten me up a bit. |
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| SLG |
I'm trying to leave that for a while - going to be a long night, don't want to be on the floor before it gets to the good bit 
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| azzuri |
SNP drifted to 1.46 and Labour drifted out to 2.8 - maybe someone knows something we don't? 
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| azzuri |
If Betfair were a good guide then it's not looking good for the SNP - just now.
SNP are still on 1.45 while Labour have been backed down all the way to 2.54 - someone is confident... |
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| azzuri |
Apparently it's illegal in the UK to disclose any exit poll results until the actual poll is closed. |
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| kevin04 |
We need to believe Azzuri, a few football fan websites like aberdeen-mad, celtic-minded, jambo kickback etc with a big percentage for the snp... Hopefully they actually went out and voted or got off their bums to go,
i]ve no idea what to do with myself right now, anyone else not in the same boat? Im pondering drink but I wanna stay up and wait for the results, I |
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| Reluctant Hero |
Was asking the people in the polling station what the turnout has been like and they estimated at 5pm when I voted, it was about 20% at their station which is pretty good for that time of day.
Also got into an argument with the guy handing out the Labour leaflets  He was giving out a "sample" of how to vote with the X's against Labour. I said they were just blatantly trying to get us to place our votes against the Labour candidates. This went on for a couple of minutes
Then I went a wee bit further down the road and had a nice chat with the guy handing out the SNP leaflets about the candidate's chances. |
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| William_Cleland |
Surprising levels of SNP support on Follow Follow when I was on a bit earlier. A lot of people want McConnell out very badly. |
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| SLG |
Awright - that's me off to pub for a while. Might be back on later... Hope everyone enjoys tonight
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| kevin04 |
Enjoy SLG,
I'm on my first beer but taking it easy, haha nervous as ever but excited too. A good night to all on here from all political persuasions, |
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| macnumpty |
I'm being well-behaved and sticking to the Shloer.
Here's hoping for a good night, people! |
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| skip |
I always find this part the most difficult part of the day... we all know "It's Time" but the clock drags in as you await the close of the polls. Then when the election programs kick-off we get a brief flurry of exit poll activity and projections and then it all goes quiet until we get the first result. I've got a couple of hours sleep in the bag and I intend to see the things all the way through as I normally do. My election routine involves a huge amount of junk food. For the record I came home via Asda where I purchased a six-pack of Irn Bru, six-pack of Mortons Rolls (arent they great), block of Scottish Chedder cheese, six-pack of Salt n Vinegar square crisps, and a 4 pack of jam & cream filled scones. Cheese and square crisp sandwiches are the way to go.... ( ok, maybe I should have voted for the save Stobhill hospital candidate afterall )
My Yogi Bear picnic basket is designed to see me through the night without having to visit the kitchen. As I switch onto couch potato mode I need the TV remote controls by my side because I endulge in channel hopping from BBC, STV and Sky News. In the event that I have to leave the room an emergency battery powered radio can be procured from the mantelpiece. Patrons will find a vomit bag under their seat in the event that Mr McConnell emerges as the leader of the largest party. |
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| Reluctant Hero |
I've had a few pints already 
I think as long you have a cuppa coffee after each pint you should be alright. Just read the Herald. It said Glasgow Kelvin is expected to be the first to be announced. SNP really need to be winning these type of seats if it has any aspirations of power. East Kilbride is due at 3am. Andy Kerr claimed he was God the other day. Let's see how he gets on tonight. Gordon isn't expected until 5am, so we will have to stay up until then to see if Salmond has won that seat. |
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| Avatar |
I hope the headlines today, actually swayed people to vote for the SNP just to spite Labour and their manky media mouth pieces. | ||||
| Claymore |
Yea that happened to me one election on polling day, not this one, was stopped in dundee centre by a couple guys handing out labour leaflets, saying there's still time to vote labour, they were very persistent, said they'd walk me to the polling station if i need help finding it. I already voted snp earlier, not actually from dundee myself, but i was dam annoyed, i'm correct in thinking this is illegal? right, arn't they supposed to stop campaigning the day before |
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| carol |
not long back from polling station spent most of the day there finished around 9pm then went to a pals for a drink  turnout at our polling station is looking at least 50% don't know if that will be reflected nationally. It looked hopeful, Lab lot definitely weren't out in droves (usually drop minibus loads off here). Looking to be up some of the night watching results on TV sleeping on sofa and expecting a call from my local SNP candiate at 4am in the morning!
It was bril hearing from some of the voters that for the first time that they'd voted SNP, here's hoping it shows tomorrow with the results. Carol |
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| macnumpty |
On the blogs:
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| trophywife |
guys, can someone tell me the best 'live' internet site to get the results. I'm 6 hours behind you lot so getting the results at a decent hour!!!! If I can find the bloody things.
Thanks |
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| macnumpty |
Try here: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/scotland/default.stm | ||||
| Reluctant Hero |
On the BBC news it said that the count in the Western Isles has been delayed until 12.00 tomorrow afternoon. Could be crucial !! |
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| macnumpty |
I've just heard that too. | ||||
| skip |
sky news is streamed live on the internet for big events like this. http://news.sky.com/skynews/livenewsevents BBC Parliament will be broadcasting scottish election coverage Live in 20 minutes time here: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/programmes/bbc_parliament/ |
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| Aventinian |
Don't know where you got that from. There's a fine tradition of tramping around to find those who have left voting to the final hour and getting party members to drive little old ladies down to the polling stations. |
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| Economist |
Turnout in the low 60's according to Brian Taylor on Newsnight | ||||
| macnumpty |
From Mr Eugenides:
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| Economist |
This is worse than waiting for exam rsesults! 
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| macnumpty |
I'm now wearing the 'independence time' T-shirt I bought from the FSN/YSI stall at Conference.
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| George |
OK, just a bit of fun:
Betfair latest odds in running at 23:00 hrs SNP 1.35 (1/3 ish) Labour 3.35 (9/4 ish) |
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| macnumpty |
Mr. Eugenides is listening to Radio Scotland, they're saying Motherwell & Wishaw might report at 11:30. | ||||
| macnumpty |
Word is Livingston could go SNP, but that might be based on a projection rather than anything concrete. | ||||
| Reluctant Hero |
BBC said first result expected an hour from now.... | ||||
| macnumpty |
Glenn Campbell: Have you got Nicol Stephen's mobile number?
Alex Salmond: He's about 20 feet from me, waiting to come into the studio.
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| George |
Samond has just given a strong indication on newsnight that SNP will win the Western Isles.
That tit Alexander clearly thinks that the campaign is still on.......attacking the SNP policies, twerp. |
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| macnumpty |
From Eugenides: Word is that the hospital campaigner in Cathcart may have done well. | ||||
| skip |
salmond on BBC1 won't predict the outcome, let the people decide etc etc. ... but says of the delayed count in Western Isles that he is "extremely, extremely confident" about Alastair Alan's chances.
watching Douglas Alexander say how proud he was of Labour's campaign. really hope his sister loses that paisley seat. |
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| Reluctant Hero |
Quite ironic when you think about it.
The show on BBC1 just before the election show was about how Lowlanders perceive the people up north, then the news comes through from the Western Isles that they won't be able to count the vote tonight
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| macnumpty |
Wendy Alexander: the Face of Cherie, the Mind of Brown! | ||||
| Mr Eugenides |
I have to confess, I'd sh*g her. | ||||
| skip |
haha yeah, program was quite funny what i saw of it. they always have a caravan doubling as a polling station and because of the weather the ballot boxes will be travelling by ferry tomorrow. does give a lot of scope for comic stereotypes. | ||||
| macnumpty |
Euuuuurrrrrgggghhhhhh!!!!! |
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| George |
OK, you guys can see it as well.
Is that the exit polls that were flashed up on the screen giving SNP a 5 point lead in the constituency and a three point lead in the regional? |
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| macnumpty |
No, that's a poll of polls. I think. They haven't mentioned an exit poll... | ||||
| Mr Eugenides |
I don't know. Is it maybe a pre-vote poll of polls, or something? What does "CONST" mean? | ||||
| George |
Oh, and if I am right what is the significance of 14% for others in the regional? |
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| Reluctant Hero |
i take it const is constituency.
these are just polls that have been done in the last few days I think |
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| Reluctant Hero |
15 mins to first result
Jack on track to win |
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| macnumpty |
Close in Cumbernauld so far? | ||||
| George |
Yes, SNP candidate apparently ahead but not by much!! |
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| macnumpty |
As long as he's ahead! | ||||
| William_Cleland |
Probably less growth potential there. The biggest swings will be where the SNP did worst last time. |
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| macnumpty |
Here comes McConnell. | ||||
| George |
Just waiting for wee Jack's constituency declaration.
I suppose we'll get a rough idea of how he at least thinks things are panning out. |
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| azzuri |
You must be old, or desparate, or both!
Welcome back to the forums Mr Eugenides... |
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| skip |
i wonder if he will refer to motherwell town centre as a pigsty in his speech? still cant beleive he said that last week of his own area!! | ||||
| William_Cleland |
SNP leading in Kilmarnock and Louden by quite a margin according to Radio Scotland a few minutes back. | ||||
| azzuri |
Holy f**k! I still can't believe it might happen even though all the signs point to it. I'm in an internet cafe in Edinburgh spending £4 an hour just to find out these little snippets! I'll be getting drunk if the declaration of a win for the SNP in K & L comes before I go to bed. |
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| Reluctant Hero |
How the f**k can Labour say independence is not supported in Scotland?
They have never asked us!! And they are campaigning against asking us!! |
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| George |
Won by Margaret Jameison last time with 1,210 (3.84 %) majority!! |
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| macnumpty |
Alexander: "I haven't spoken to my sister in several weeks."
Let's hope she has more time on her hands, then. |
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| William_Cleland |
Not so good for the SNP in Renfrewshire according to Radio Scotland. Word is Paisley South and North are going Labour and Annabel Goldie is ahead in West Renfrewshire. | ||||
| Reluctant Hero |
You won't believe this, but in Edinburgh, some of the papers are getting sellotaped back together. A man with a golf club or something.
As a result, that seat is not getting counted until after the council ones. This election is turning into a joke 
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| wisnaeme |
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Anyone got any spare sellotape for Edinburgh West? 
. |
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| William_Cleland |
Labour winning in Linlithgow. | ||||
| macnumpty |
Sweepstake: how often will the Motherwell & Wishaw result be '15 minutes away'?
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| Reluctant Hero |
One of the council seats in England has been decided as a toss of a coin | ||||
| William_Cleland |
Interesting that there is a recount there but probably too good to be true that McConnell is in trouble. | ||||
| George |
Won last time by Mary Mulligan Labour 1,970 (7.13 %) |
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| William_Cleland |
Fife Central "neck and neck". | ||||
| William_Cleland |
Motherwell
Lab 12574 SNP 6636 SLD 1570 Con 1990 Christ and SSCUP both over 1000 |
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| Reluctant Hero |
Jack McConnell elected but his majority is reduced by a third from 9000 to under 6000.
Turnout just over 50% |
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| wisnaeme |
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That's encouraging "RH". down a third. . |
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| George |
Won last time by Cllr Christine May Labour 2,762 (10.79 %) |
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| kevin04 |
1-0 labour with McConnell but snp reduce his majority | ||||
| William_Cleland |
6.9% swing in Motherwell | ||||
| Aventinian |
Aww... poor Wendy.
Just under, I think. Down fractionally on last time. |
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| macnumpty |
Boat in trouble bringing the votes from Arran... | ||||
| Reluctant Hero |
Yeah, thought he said the turnout was 50 odd % but must have heard wrong.
Incident number three - a boat from Arran or somewhere has hit difficulties and another boat has had to go out and rescue it and the ballot papers. |
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| Reluctant Hero |
BBC saying Paisley South is going the way of Labour 
Is this the start of things to come.... |
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| kevin04 |
not good about Paisley South, | ||||
| carol |
Motherwell and Wishaw turnout 48%, voting - swing of 6.9% to SNP
Carol |
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| skip |
no, i think its the BBC that has got it wrong... there were 900 spoilt papers which means the true turnout was 51.5% or something. i think the bbc has only calculated the turnout from the votes which were valid. |
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| carol |
turnout is calculated at polling stations, I think 48% may be correct
Carol |
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| William_Cleland |
SNP way ahead in Dundee West
Labour winning easily Paisley South according Radio Scotland |
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| Reluctant Hero |
I am getting more and more angry by the minute
How can the Labour Party say that they have fought a good campaign, an articulate campaign even!! They have fought the most negative campaign that I can ever remember. |
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| Aventinian |
Doesn't it work out that if the SNP win Dundee West, and Alex Salmond fails to win in his constituency, then he won't get elected on the list? Something like that anyway... |
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| carol |
Labour hold Kelvin 
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| William_Cleland |
Glasgow Kelvin Lab win | ||||
| Reluctant Hero |
Kelvin gone to Labour
5% swing to SNP I'm getting a sinking feeling |
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| Aventinian |
Glasgow Kelvin is rather heated.
Lots of rejected papers in the two declared, it seems. |
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| macnumpty |
Could the Greens have stopped us from winning?
And the rumours that we've taken Dundee West... |
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| kevin04 |
I think the Greens could have kept us out indeed, McNeil being a complete tool shouting down the mic in her acceptance speech, | ||||
| George |
Is there any significance in the fact that turnout in both Motherwell and Kelvin has been 50% and 42% respectively? | ||||
| Reluctant Hero |
get in!!
Dundee West goes SNP |
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| William_Cleland |
Dundee West
SLD 2517 CON 1787 SNP 10955 LAB 9009 |
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| Avatar |
First gain of the night to the SNP 
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